DMfirst / Journal
Numbers explainedDMfirst-owned · Edition 065

Distinguish independent events

Independent events do not change each other’s probability. A streak by itself does not make the opposite result due on the next independent event.

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Inside this edition

One topic. 3 useful perspectives.

3 sections

01

Understand the idea

Independent events do not change each other’s probability. A streak by itself does not make the opposite result due on the next independent event.

Context
02

Put it into practice

Use a fair coin as an example: after several heads, the next toss still has a one-half chance of heads under the fair independent model.

Practical step
03

Know the limits

Do not assume a real game follows the fair-coin model without evidence about its rules and mechanism.

Important limit

Make the reading useful.

Take a moment to check your understanding. This is a reflection aid, not a certification or account check.

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